On TVP WORLD Talks, I discussed a few days ago why Russia is unlikely to open a new front in Europe – despite Putin’s vow to press on in Ukraine.
๐ด Putin admits the war has a cost. That’s new.
๐ด Cracks are forming in the Kremlin’s calculus – but Putin isn’t listening.
๐ด Bottom line: Moscow lacks the conventional capacity for a second front, and Europe’s surge in defense spending and industrial output makes it neither feasible nor desirable from Russia’s perspective.
๐ช๐บ The real story isn’t just Ukraine – it’s the ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ ๐๐๐๐ and how the continent responds to provocation without falling into escalation traps.
Former counter-terrorism expert at EEAS, former political and military advisor on EU CSDP missions & operations in Brussels. PhD International Relations, Strasbourg University.
