2022 Ukraine War Prediction

January 2022 – Michael Benhamou, OPEWI’s Executive Director, was asked the following towards the end of 2021: will the war in Ukraine happen? Will Russian forces invade? The team leaned towards “very likely” in January 2022 after considering cost/benefit ratios, geopolitical dynamics and Kremlin mentalities…

We were not pleased to be right.

For more information, please reach out to OPEWI: contact@opewi.com

Image credits: Wikimedia Commons, Public Domain

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Written byMichael BenhamouCo-director, OPEWI

Former EU/NATO/FRA political adviser (Kosovo, Afghanistan, Libya, Brussels, Indian Ocean). MA Sorbonne & Sciences Po.

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